First Majestic Silver Corp.
XSWX:AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.
6.52B
0
14.49
11.99
38.91
$0.34
21.2%
2.11
Quadro dei segnali
Catalizzatori
Quadro sintetico
Domanda chiave
Will First Majestic's operational strength — record revenue, expanding EBITDA, and a dramatically increased dividend — outweigh the governance and regulatory overhang from its unresolved Mexican tax dispute and recent earnings miss, or will these unresolved liabilities and earnings volatility keep t
Scenario rialzista
First Majestic offers investors leveraged exposure to a silver price re-rating thesis, with 58% of 2025 revenue derived from silver and record Q2 2026 revenue of $414.2M alongside EBITDA of roughly $249M demonstrating strong operational momentum. The balance sheet is solid, with a current ratio near 2.57x, low debt-to-equity of approximately 0.46x, and over $1.24B in cash and short-term investments, providing ample flexibility to fund growth and absorb contingent liabilities. Management's decision to raise the dividend by 217% signals confidence in sustained free cash flow, and a recent Seeking Alpha upgrade to Buy argues the stock now trades at a discount to intrinsic value. With shares down 16.9% from their 52-week high and trading near the 52-week low, patient investors may be entering
Scenario ribassista
The company's Q2 2026 EPS missed estimates by 31.28%, triggering a 4.21% share price decline and raising questions about earnings quality despite strong revenue and EBITDA figures. First Majestic faces an unresolved $209.2M Mexican tax dispute involving its Primero Empresa Minera subsidiary — a matter serious enough to require intervention from the Canadian ambassador — alongside allegations that the company failed to adequately disclose this liability in SEC filings, a governance red flag. The stock's beta of 2.111 makes it highly sensitive to swings in silver prices and broader risk sentiment, and its trailing P/E of 25.42 is not inexpensive if metal prices soften. Geographic concentration in Mexico compounds regulatory and fiscal risk, and the stock is currently trading essentially at i
Panoramica della società
Posizione di mercato
First Majestic occupies a notable position within the Basic Materials sector's Silver industry, distinguishing itself as one of the world's purest primary silver producers, with 58% of 2025 revenue derived from silver across a portfolio of four underground mines in Mexico plus the Los Gatos interest. Its vertical integration into minting and direct bullion sales — a feature the company highlights as unique among publicly traded miners — provides a differentiated revenue channel and brand positioning beyond wholesale concentrate sales. Within the competitive landscape of primary silver producers, First Majestic's scale (31.1 million silver equivalent ounces produced in 2025) and diversified Mexican asset base provide meaningful production visibility, though the concentration of all operations in a single country exposes the company to disproportionate sovereign and regulatory risk relative to more geographically diversified peers.
Prospettive
The near-term investment case for First Majestic hinges on whether operational strength — record Q2 revenue and EBITDA, a substantially increased dividend, and a recent analyst upgrade — can outweigh the drag from an EPS miss and the unresolved Mexican tax dispute. Investors should watch for developments in the $209.2M tax negotiation, the sustainability of the newly elevated dividend, and broader silver price trends given the stock's high beta of 2.111. With shares trading near their 52-week low of $11.994, the risk-reward setup appears asymmetric to the upside if silver prices strengthen and the tax dispute is resolved favorably, but downside risk remains material given ongoing governance questions and the demonstrated volatility of quarterly earnings versus estimates. A balanced approach would monitor both the resolution timeline for the tax dispute and confirmation of sustained production and margin trends in coming quarters.
Analisi fondamentale
Valutazioni dettagliate
First Majestic trades at a trailing P/E of 25.42 and a P/B of 3.17, multiples that reflect a premium silver producer rather than a distressed miner. However, EV/EBITDA of 5.76 is reasonable for the precious metals sector and suggests the market is not egregiously overpaying relative to cash-generating capacity. Price-to-sales of 4.35 is elevated but consistent with a company posting a 47.8% operating margin, and the recent Seeking Alpha upgrade cites a discount to intrinsic value assuming continued silver re-rating.
While the payload's QuarterlyEarningsGrowthYOY and QuarterlyRevenueGrowthYOY fields are null, the underlying income statement tells a clear growth story: Q2 2026 revenue of $414.2M compares to $264.7M in Q2 2025, a roughly 56% year-over-year increase, while net income rose from $56.6M to $125.9M over the same period, more than doubling. Sequential revenue did dip from Q1 2026's $480.9M, but the year-over-year trajectory and record production metrics cited in earnings coverage point to genuine operational momentum, aided by the Los Gatos integration.
The stock has fallen 16.9% from its 52-week high of $14.492 to the current $12.036, and slid a further 4.21% specifically on the Q2 EPS miss (actual EPS came in 31.28% below estimates). At the same time, trailing profitability metrics remain healthy — a 21.2% net profit margin and 13.4% return on equity — showing that operational execution has not deteriorated even as the share price has retreated sharply from highs.
First Majestic's balance sheet is solid: the most recent quarter shows total current assets of $1.43B against total current liabilities of $558.7M, a current ratio of roughly 2.57x, and a debt-to-equity ratio of only about 0.46x (total liabilities of $1.56B vs. shareholders' equity of $3.37B). Cash and short-term investments exceed $1.24B, giving the company substantial liquidity to fund capex, service debt, and absorb potential liabilities such as the ongoing Mexican tax dispute.
The forward dividend yield of 0.42% is modest, and the reported payout ratio of 0 (effectively near-zero relative to trailing EPS of $0.34) indicates ample earnings coverage. The company just announced a 217% increase in its quarterly dividend alongside record Q2 results, signaling management's confidence in free cash flow generation ($149.4M in Q2 2026 alone), though the newness of this larger payout means a longer track record is needed to fully confirm sustainability through commodity cycles.
Indicatori chiave
Analisi della valutazione
Come il mercato valuta questa azione rispetto ai suoi fondamentali.
Multiplo prezzo/utili
Prezzo rispetto al valore contabile
Prezzo rispetto al fatturato
Valore d'impresa rispetto all'EBITDA
Analisi
First Majestic's valuation multiples paint a picture of a growth-oriented precious metals producer rather than a bargain-bin miner. The trailing P/E of 25.42 sits above typical value thresholds but is not unusual for a silver producer with expanding margins and dividend growth, particularly one that the market is pricing on expectations of higher future silver prices. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.757, however, is more moderate and suggests that on a cash-flow basis the enterprise is reasonably priced relative to its $625.7M EBITDA base and $4.38B enterprise value. Price-to-book of 3.17 and price-to-sales of 4.35 both indicate the market is assigning a premium to First Majestic's asset base and revenue stream relative to book value, which is consistent with a company that has meaningfully grown both production and profitability. No forward P/E or PEG ratio was available in this dataset, limiting the ability to assess whether the market is pricing in continued growth acceleration or deceleration. Given the recent Seeking Alpha upgrade citing an intrinsic value discount tied to silver's re-rating potential, and the stock's 16.9% pullback from its 52-week high, current multiples may understate the company's earnings power if silver prices remain firm.
Crescita & redditività
Although the payload's standardized YoY growth fields (QuarterlyEarningsGrowthYOY, QuarterlyRevenueGrowthYOY) were not populated, the underlying quarterly income statements reveal a clear growth trajectory. Q2 2026 revenue of $414.2M compares favorably to $264.7M in Q2 2025, an increase of roughly 56%, while net income more than doubled from $56.6M to $125.9M over the same period. This growth appears to be driven by higher production volumes and metal prices, along with the successful integration of the Los Gatos mine into the portfolio. Sequentially, Q1 2026 revenue of $480.9M was higher than Q2 2026's $414.2M, indicating some quarter-to-quarter variability likely tied to production scheduling, ore grades, or metal price fluctuations rather than a structural slowdown. The Q2 EPS miss of 31.28% versus estimates suggests that while top-line and EBITDA growth remain robust, translating that growth into consistent bottom-line beats has proven more challenging, an important nuance for investors weighing growth durability against earnings predictability.
First Majestic's profitability profile is a genuine strength: a 21.2% net profit margin paired with a 47.8% operating margin reflects strong pricing power and cost discipline relative to revenue. Return on equity of 13.4% and return on assets of 10.2% are healthy figures for a capital-intensive mining business, indicating the company is generating solid returns on both shareholder capital and its asset base. Gross profit of $450.0M on TTM revenue (implied at roughly $1.27B based on RevenuePerShareTTM of $2.638 and shares outstanding of 492.7M) suggests a gross margin in the mid-30% range, a reasonable outcome for an underground silver/gold miner facing input cost inflation. The wide gap between the 47.8% operating margin and lower net margin points to meaningful non-operating items — including tax provisions related to the ongoing Mexican dispute — flowing through to the bottom line, a dynamic investors should monitor closely as it can create volatility between operating performance and reported earnings.
Crescita
Redditività
Solidità finanziaria
The balance sheet is one of First Majestic's clearest strengths. As of the most recent quarter, total current assets of $1.43B against total current liabilities of $558.7M produce a current ratio of approximately 2.57x, indicating ample short-term liquidity. Total liabilities of $1.56B against shareholders' equity of $3.37B yield a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of roughly 0.46x, well within comfortable leverage territory for a mining company. Cash and short-term investments exceeding $1.24B provide substantial financial flexibility, which is particularly important given the unresolved $209.2M Mexican tax dispute that could eventually require a cash settlement. Free cash flow generation has also been strong, with $149.4M generated in Q2 2026 alone, supporting both the recently expanded dividend and ongoing capital expenditures (-$45.0M in Q2 2026). Overall, the company appears well-positioned to manage its capital allocation priorities — growth capex, dividends, and potential litigation costs — without near-term balance sheet strain.
Debito totale rispetto al capitale proprio
Capacità di coprire gli impegni a breve termine
Utile prima di interessi, imposte e ammortamenti
Patrimonio netto per azione
Quadro tecnico
Principali indicatori tecnici e segnali di prezzo.
Dividendi
Domande frequenti
Domande frequenti su First Majestic Silver Corp., con risposte basate sull'analisi IA
First Majestic presents a mixed near-term picture: the stock trades near its 52-week low of $11.994, down 16.9% from its high of $14.492, after a Q2 2026 EPS miss of 31.28% versus estimates triggered a 4.21% price drop. However, the company posted record quarterly revenue of $414.2M and EBITDA of $249.1M, raised its dividend by 217%, and was recently upgraded to Buy by Seeking Alpha on valuation grounds. Investors comfortable with silver-price volatility (beta of 2.111) and Mexican regulatory risk may find the current price attractive, but the unresolved tax dispute warrants caution.
First Majestic's trailing profit margin stands at 21.2%, with an operating margin of 47.8%, reflecting strong underlying mine economics. Return on equity is 13.4% and return on assets is 10.2%, both solid figures for a mid-cap precious metals miner. Gross profit of $450.0M on TTM revenue of roughly $1.27B (implied by RevenuePerShareTTM of $2.64) underscores healthy unit economics despite the recent quarterly earnings miss.
Yes. First Majestic pays a forward annual dividend of $0.05 per share, translating to a forward yield of 0.42%. The company just announced a 217% increase to its quarterly dividend alongside its Q2 2026 results, and its reported payout ratio of 0 (near-zero relative to TTM EPS of $0.34) suggests the dividend is currently well covered by earnings.
The stock fell 4.21% after First Majestic reported Q2 2026 EPS that missed analyst estimates by 31.28%, despite record revenue of $414.2M and EBITDA of $249.1M. The disconnect between strong top-line/operational metrics and an earnings miss likely reflects higher costs, tax provisions, or non-cash items weighing on net income, which came in at $125.9M for the quarter.
First Majestic trades at a trailing P/E of 25.42 and an EV/EBITDA multiple of 5.76. The P/E reflects the market pricing in continued growth and silver-price leverage, while the more modest EV/EBITDA multiple suggests the enterprise is not excessively expensive relative to its cash-flow generation. Price-to-book of 3.17 and price-to-sales of 4.35 round out a valuation profile typical of a growth-oriented precious metals producer rather than a deep-value play.
First Majestic's balance sheet is a relative strength: the current ratio is approximately 2.57x (current assets of $1.43B vs. current liabilities of $558.7M), and debt-to-equity is low at roughly 0.46x. The company holds over $1.24B in cash and short-term investments, giving it flexibility to fund growth, pay dividends, and manage the ongoing Mexican tax dispute without near-term liquidity stress.
The most material risks include an unresolved $209.2M Mexican tax dispute that has escalated to diplomatic intervention, allegations that the company underreported this liability in SEC filings, and elevated share-price volatility given a beta of 2.111. Additionally, the recent 31.28% EPS miss highlights the risk of earnings unpredictability even as top-line metrics remain strong.
According to the company's 2025 Annual Report, First Majestic derived 58% of its revenue from silver in 2025 while operating four underground silver/gold mines in Mexico plus the Los Gatos interest, producing 15.4 million ounces of silver and 147,000 ounces of gold, totaling 31.1 million silver equivalent ounces. This makes the company one of the more purely silver-levered producers in the sector, amplifying its sensitivity to silver price movements.
Indicatori finanziari chiave
Rapporti e indicatori finanziari essenziali estratti dai dati più recenti disponibili.
Valutazione
Redditività
Crescita
Salute finanziaria
Bilancio
Assetto proprietario & dividendi
Valutazione
CorrettaFirst Majestic trades at a trailing P/E of 25.42 and a P/B of 3.17, multiples that reflect a premium silver producer rather than a distressed miner. However, EV/EBITDA of 5.76 is reasonable for the precious metals sector and suggests the market is not egregiously overpaying relative to cash-generating capacity. Price-to-sales of 4.35 is elevated but consistent with a company posting a 47.8% operating margin, and the recent Seeking Alpha upgrade cites a discount to intrinsic value assuming continued silver re-rating.
Prospettive di crescita
SolidaWhile the payload's QuarterlyEarningsGrowthYOY and QuarterlyRevenueGrowthYOY fields are null, the underlying income statement tells a clear growth story: Q2 2026 revenue of $414.2M compares to $264.7M in Q2 2025, a roughly 56% year-over-year increase, while net income rose from $56.6M to $125.9M over the same period, more than doubling. Sequential revenue did dip from Q1 2026's $480.9M, but the year-over-year trajectory and record production metrics cited in earnings coverage point to genuine operational momentum, aided by the Los Gatos integration.
Performance passata
ModerataThe stock has fallen 16.9% from its 52-week high of $14.492 to the current $12.036, and slid a further 4.21% specifically on the Q2 EPS miss (actual EPS came in 31.28% below estimates). At the same time, trailing profitability metrics remain healthy — a 21.2% net profit margin and 13.4% return on equity — showing that operational execution has not deteriorated even as the share price has retreated sharply from highs.
Salute finanziaria
SolidaFirst Majestic's balance sheet is solid: the most recent quarter shows total current assets of $1.43B against total current liabilities of $558.7M, a current ratio of roughly 2.57x, and a debt-to-equity ratio of only about 0.46x (total liabilities of $1.56B vs. shareholders' equity of $3.37B). Cash and short-term investments exceed $1.24B, giving the company substantial liquidity to fund capex, service debt, and absorb potential liabilities such as the ongoing Mexican tax dispute.
Sostenibilità del dividendo
SostenibileThe forward dividend yield of 0.42% is modest, and the reported payout ratio of 0 (effectively near-zero relative to trailing EPS of $0.34) indicates ample earnings coverage. The company just announced a 217% increase in its quarterly dividend alongside record Q2 results, signaling management's confidence in free cash flow generation ($149.4M in Q2 2026 alone), though the newness of this larger payout means a longer track record is needed to fully confirm sustainability through commodity cycles.
Analisi degli utili
UPA stimati vs effettivi e traiettoria degli utili.
Prospettive degli utili
The ground-truth earnings dataset provided contains no populated entries, next earnings date, or last surprise percentage, making it impossible to construct a verified quarter-by-quarter EPS estimate-versus-actual trend from that source. However, news coverage and the income statement data indicate that First Majestic's Q2 2026 EPS missed analyst estimates by 31.28%, triggering a 4.21% stock decline, even as the company reported record revenue of $414.2M and EBITDA of roughly $249M-$252M. Reported quarterly net income has shown a strong year-over-year improvement trajectory, rising from $56.6M in Q2 2025 to $125.9M in Q2 2026, suggesting that while headline EPS missed consensus, underlying earnings power has improved meaningfully. Investors should treat the earnings-estimate trend as incon
Analisi tecnica
Principali indicatori tecnici, segnali di tendenza e livelli di supporto/resistenza.
Medie mobili
No 50-day or 200-day moving average data was available in this dataset, so a traditional trend-following read via moving average positioning cannot be constructed. Investors should treat the absence of MA confirmation as a data gap rather than a bullish or bearish signal, and rely on the raw price action — a steady decline from $14.492 to $12.036 over six sessions — as the primary trend indicator
Andamento del prezzo
Indicatori di momentum
Nessuna direzione chiara
Rispetto alla media a 30 giorni
RSI, MACD, and ADX values were not provided, so momentum cannot be quantitatively assessed. Qualitatively, the six-session slide from the July 23 high to the current price, combined with the stock trading essentially at its 52-week low, suggests negative price momentum in the very short term, though this decline coincides with an earnings-related event (a 31.28% EPS miss) that may represent a one-
Supporto & resistenza
The most relevant support level is the 52-week low of $11.994, which the stock is currently trading just 0.35% above — a break below this level would signal a fresh technical low with no recent historical support beneath it. Resistance sits around $12.80, a level the stock traded through as recently as July 20-21 before rallying to $14.492; reclaiming this level would be an early sign of stabiliza
Indicatori chiave
Prospettiva tecnica
ribassistaTwelve Data's computed technical indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, ADX, ATR) were not available for this dataset, limiting the depth of quantitative technical confirmation. What the raw price history does show is a clear short-term downtrend: shares peaked at $14.492 on July 23, 2026, and have declined in six of the following seven sessions to close at $12.036 by July 31, a drop of roughly 17% from the high. The stock is now trading just 0.35% above its 52-week low of $11.994, placing it near the bottom of its 52-week range at approximately the 1.7th percentile. With elevated beta of 2.111, this decline has likely been amplified relative to broader market or silver-price moves, and the pattern suggests sellers have been in control since the late-July peak, though the
Investors should watch whether $11.994 holds as support in the coming sessions; a breach would open the door to further downside with no clear technical floor nearby, given the lack of longer-term moving average data. Conversely, a recovery back above the $12.80 resistance zone, especially if accompanied by volume confirmation and further positive commentary following the dividend hike and Seeking Alpha upgrade, would suggest the post-earnings selloff has run its course. Given the stock's high beta (2.111) and the unresolved Mexican tax dispute, position sizing should account for outsized vola
Intervallo dei prezzi obiettivo
Prezzi obiettivo ribassista, base e rialzista rispetto al prezzo attuale.
Breve termine
1-7 daysMedio termine
30-90 daysProfilo rischio/rendimento
Analisi degli scenari
Catalizzatori di prezzo
First Majestic's Q2 2026 EPS missed analyst estimates by 31.28%, contributing to a 4.21% single-day decline in the stock and reinforcing near-term earnings unpredictability despite strong top-line results.
The company lifted its quarterly dividend by 217% alongside Q2 results, signaling management confidence in free cash flow generation and offering a positive catalyst for income-oriented investors.
Seeking Alpha upgraded First Majestic to Buy, citing a valuation discount to intrinsic value assuming continued silver price re-rating, a potential catalyst for renewed investor interest.
The company reported record quarterly revenue of $414.2M and EBITDA of $249.1M (per GuruFocus coverage of $252M EBITDA figures), underscoring strong operational execution despite the EPS miss.
The $209.2M tax dispute with Mexico's SAT has escalated to require intervention by the Canadian ambassador, adding a regulatory overhang and reputational risk related to prior SEC disclosure allegations.
Prospettive a breve termine
Near-term price action is likely to remain volatile as the market continues digesting the mixed Q2 2026 report — an EPS miss against a backdrop of record revenue, a substantial dividend increase, and an analyst upgrade. The stock's proximity to its 52-week low of $11.994 means downside from here may be limited barring a fresh negative catalyst, but the unresolved Mexican tax dispute represents a wildcard that could pressure sentiment further if it escalates. Watch for follow-through on the dividend announcement (ex-dividend date August 14, 2026) and any updates on the tax dispute negotiations,
Indicatore di convinzione
Domanda chiave per gli investitori
Will First Majestic's operational strength — record revenue, expanding EBITDA, and a dramatically increased dividend — outweigh the governance and regulatory overhang from its unresolved Mexican tax dispute and recent earnings miss, or will these unresolved liabilities and earnings volatility keep t
Valutazione del rischio
Dettaglio per categoria di rischio
Rischi principali
High equity beta of 2.111 amplifies exposure to silver and gold price swings and broader risk-asset volatility
Unresolved Mexican tax dispute with the SAT, now escalated to a $209.2M diplomatic issue involving the Canadian ambassador, following a Supreme Court ruling against subsidiary Primero Empresa Minera
Allegations that the company did not adequately disclose the ~$159M/$155M Mexican tax liability in SEC filings, raising governance and transparency concerns
Q2 2026 EPS missed estimates by 31.28%, triggering a 4.21% single-day share price decline and highlighting execution/estimate-accuracy risk
Geographic concentration risk, with all producing mines located in Mexico, exposing the company to a single sovereign's regulatory and fiscal regime
Fattori attenuanti
Strong balance sheet with a current ratio near 2.57x and debt-to-equity of roughly 0.46x, providing a cushion against tax liabilities or commodity downturns
Record Q2 2026 revenue ($414.2M) and EBITDA ($249.1M) demonstrate continued operational strength despite the EPS miss
217% dividend increase signals management confidence in free cash flow and shareholder-return capacity
Recent Seeking Alpha upgrade to Buy citing a valuation discount to intrinsic value amid an anticipated silver re-rating
Valutazione ESG
affidabilità: mediaFirst Majestic demonstrates above-average environmental and social performance, with a 21% year-over-year reduction in carbon intensity, low workplace injury rates (TRIFR 0.55, LTIFR 0.12), and meaningful community investment of $2.4 million in 2025, all documented in its fourth consecutive SASB-aligned sustainability report. However, governance concerns are significant and unresolved: a Mexican Supreme Court ruling against subsidiary Primero Empresa Minera for approximately $155M, combined with allegations that this liability was inadequately disclosed in SEC filings, and an escalation requiring Canadian diplomatic intervention over a $209.2M dispute, collectively point to material governance and disclosure risk. On balance, the company's ESG profile is mixed — solid operational sustainability practices offset by a serious and ongoing tax/governance controversy that investors should weigh carefully. Data confidence is moderate given the availability of multiple detailed sustainability reports but limited independent third-party ESG ratings in the payload.
Ambiente
Carbon intensity reduced by 21% year-over-year and by 49% since 2019, per the 2025 Sustainability Report
2025 Sustainability Report prepared in alignment with SASB Metals & Mining accounting standards
Fourth consecutive annual sustainability report published, indicating maturing environmental reporting practices
Successful integration of the Los Gatos mine into the operating portfolio, described as part of the company's sustainability narrative
Sociale
Invested US$2.4 million in local community projects in 2025
Maintained low safety incident rates with a Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate (TRIFR) of 0.55 and Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate (LTIFR) of 0.12
70% of employees have tenure exceeding six years, suggesting strong workforce retention
Sustainability reporting emphasizes material topics relevant to mining communities and workforce
Governance
Mexico's Supreme Court upheld a tax ruling against subsidiary Primero Empresa Minera for approximately $155M (2.87 billion pesos) related to 2012 fiscal year taxes
Reports allege the company did not adequately disclose the resulting tax liability in SEC filings
The dispute has escalated to require intervention from the Canadian ambassador to Mexico over a $209.2 million disagreement with Mexico's SAT
Company continues to publish sustainability reports aligned with SASB standards, indicating some commitment to structured disclosure despite the tax controversy
Rischi ESG principali
Controversie
3Certificazioni & standard
Avvertenza importante
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